NCAA Tournament March Madness

#95 Florida St

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Projection: likely out

Florida State’s résumé reads like a team with flashes of competence but not enough signature work to quiet skeptics: a tight road tussle at Florida showed they can compete away from Tallahassee, yet neutral losses to Texas A&M and Houston and a heavy defeat at Georgia are damaging results that a committee will notice. Most of the victories have come against low-major opposition such as Alcorn State, Alabama State, Georgia Southern and Cal State Bakersfield, which does little to offset those setbacks and leaves the profile thin on quality road and neutral wins. That leaves a collection of clear opportunities to change the conversation — true road tests at North Carolina, Dayton, Notre Dame and Clemson and home dates with Duke and NC State among them — and how the team performs in those high-leverage environments, particularly away from home, will ultimately define whether this résumé can move into stronger territory.

Date Opponent Ranking Outcome
11/4Alcorn St334W108-76
11/7Alabama St255W101-64
11/11@Florida14L78-76
11/18TN Martin236W87-73
11/21Ga Southern237W98-72
11/25CS Bakersfield301W89-59
11/28(N)Texas A&M52L95-59
12/2Georgia25L107-73
12/6(N)Houston10L82-67
12/13(N)Massachusetts17672%
12/16@Dayton6928%
12/19MS Valley St365100%
12/22Jacksonville29092%
12/30@North Carolina2413%
1/3Duke411%
1/10NC State2831%
1/13@Syracuse6227%
1/17Wake Forest4541%
1/20@Miami FL3417%
1/24@SMU4018%
1/28California7150%
1/31Stanford9059%
2/7@Notre Dame6026%
2/10Virginia2329%
2/14@Virginia Tech6427%
2/17Boston College14475%
2/21@Clemson2613%
2/24Miami FL3434%
2/28@Georgia Tech13652%
3/4@Pittsburgh10843%
3/7SMU4036%