NCAA Tournament March Madness

#109 Florida St

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Projection: likely out

Florida State’s profile reads like a team that has picked off the expected nonconference wins but has been damaged by a string of ugly neutral-site and road defeats, and those lopsided losses to Texas A&M, Georgia and Houston plus hard-court setbacks at Dayton and Massachusetts overwhelm the modest resume-building victories such as Alcorn State and Jacksonville; the competitive outing at Florida is a bright spot but it does not erase the absence of a signature win against a proven opponent, which is what a committee prizes alongside road and neutral success. The ACC slate still hands them clear paths to repair the picture with road wins at places like Syracuse and Notre Dame or quality home victories against the league’s top teams, and until those opportunities are seized the body of work looks thin because most quality metrics will point to a weak nonconference strength of schedule and limited evidence that this group can win away from home.

Date Opponent Ranking Outcome
11/4Alcorn St336W108-76
11/7Alabama St286W101-64
11/11@Florida13L78-76
11/18TN Martin205W87-73
11/21Ga Southern219W98-72
11/25CS Bakersfield306W89-59
11/28(N)Texas A&M50L95-59
12/2Georgia25L107-73
12/6(N)Houston12L82-67
12/13(N)Massachusetts177L103-95
12/16@Dayton72L97-69
12/19MS Valley St365W96-49
12/22Jacksonville315W87-63
12/30@North Carolina2210%
1/3Duke911%
1/10NC State2425%
1/13@Syracuse8028%
1/17Wake Forest6144%
1/20@Miami FL3814%
1/24@SMU4115%
1/28California7547%
1/31Stanford9453%
2/7@Notre Dame5823%
2/10Virginia2625%
2/14@Virginia Tech6224%
2/17Boston College15573%
2/21@Clemson3514%
2/24Miami FL3830%
2/28@Georgia Tech12543%
3/4@Pittsburgh9331%
3/7SMU4131%